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New strategy needed

Nov 17,2015 - Last updated at Nov 17,2015

The world is on high alert. France is in a state of war and soon most of Europe will be following the bloody wave of shootings and suicide bombings that shook the French capital Friday night, killing and injuring hundreds of innocent civilians.

This was the boldest and most coordinated attack by Daesh terrorists against soft targets in the heart of Europe.

The perpetrators were mainly French-born Muslims and others, including a Syrian emigrant who arrived in Europe recently.

The reverberations of these attacks, a European September 11, will be felt for years.

The threat of Daesh is now global.

In less than a month, the radical terrorist organisation was able to strike targets well outside traditional areas under its influence in Iraq and Syria.

The downing of a Russian jet over Sinai, the Beirut bombings and now the Paris carnage prove beyond doubt that while the organisation is constantly being hit in Syria and Iraq, its ability to strike back anytime, anywhere constitutes a new danger that requires a new, multifaceted strategy.

The Paris bombings cast their shadows over the Vienna talks on Syria on Saturday and the G-20 meeting in Antalya a day later.

There was a fresh conviction that fighting this global menace requires a new approach to finding a political solution to the Syrian crisis.

But the bombings also raised questions about the options that the anti-Daesh coalition must entertain to weaken and finally defeat this menace.

It also underlined the need to point the finger at the culpable states that continue to support radical militants and that have allowed thousands of foreign fighters to arrive in Syria and Iraq.

For, now efforts to reach a political solution on Syria must go hand in hand with the search for a new strategy to crush Daesh in the long run.

In Vienna, the US and Russia, in addition to others, agreed on a roadmap that would pave the way for a political transition that includes a ceasefire, initiating talks between the Damascus regime and the opposition, writing a new constitution and culminating, 18 months later, in presidential and legislative elections.

The fate of President Bashar Assad remains a point of contention.

In addition, agreeing on a joint list that defines the moderate groups fighting in Syria will prove difficult.

But as the Syria support group examines possible solutions, the fight against Daesh must continue.

More than a year of coalition airstrikes failed to defeat the terrorist organisation.

Without ground forces, it will be difficult to dislodge the militants and while in Iraq the army and the peshmerga are at the forefront in the war against Daesh, with mixed results, the situation in Syria is different.

Russian airstrikes in Syria targeted Daesh and other groups. Moscow’s main aim is to help the regime reclaim lost territory even if that means hitting anti-Daesh militias.

There will have to be a major shift in strategies, both by Russia and the US-led coalition.

A joint ground assault may be the best option to defeat the militants, but it raises questions about the fate of liberated areas.

It could also derail any understanding on a political path to end the Syrian crisis.

Away from Raqqa, Mosul and Ramadi, the Paris bombings raise serious questions about Europe’s ability to absorb hundreds of thousands of immigrants and asylum seekers amid fears that Daesh militants may infiltrate waves of refugees.

The bombings will have a direct effect on European policies, open borders, right-wing and conservative movements and attitudes towards millions of Muslim citizens.

It raises more questions about assimilation versus integration in Europe of Muslims and why second-generation European Muslims leave their countries to join the so-called Daesh caliphate while harbouring such hatred towards their native lands.

Fighting Daesh will require a combination of more than one front.

There is need for a regional and Islamic coalition to confront religious extremism at home and abroad.

Aside from military and security measures, all of which will have some repercussions, there is a need to fight the extremist dogma that has inspired and attracted young Muslims and defaced the image of Islam as a tolerant religion.

King Abdullah has likened what is going on today to a third world war.

In many ways it is becoming one. Each and every country will have to address the root causes of religious extremism and the abhorrent use of violence.

This war will take a long time to win.

In Europe, there will have to be a serious examination of the reasons that drive young Muslims to join extremists in faraway parts of the world, including socio-economic factors.

In the Arab world, the rise of religious extremism must be tied to the series of failures to build democratic and egalitarian societies.

The Paris bombings present a rude wake-up call that in today’s globalised world, matters of security, regional stability, social and economic realities are all tied together and that modern-day terrorism, in the form of Daesh, recognises no borders.

 

The writer is a journalist and political commentator based in Amman.

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